The 2019 US Open is starting – Who are the favourites?
- Updated: 27th August 2019
Since it is one of the biggest tournaments of the tennis season, US Open also brings the great tennis players of the world. As main attractions we will have Roger Federer and Rafael Nadal fighting for the number 2 spot in the world rankings.
The balance in the USA
Obviously the US Open is one of the most awaited tournaments of the season, being one of the 4 Grand Slams of the year (alongside the Australian Open, Roland Garros and Wimbledon), and it has an advantage over the other ones: it is the most balanced Grand Slam of the last decade.
Since 2009, we have had 6 different winners on the American tournament. The biggest winners during that period are Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal, with 3 titles each.
The Serbian won in 2011, 2015 and 2018, while the Spaniard won in 2010, 2013 and 2017. Amongst the biggest winners of the American title, we also have the Argentinian Juan Martin del Potro, that won in 2009, the British Andy Murray that won in 2012, the Croatian Marin Cilic that won in 2014 and the Swiss Stan Wawrinka that won it in 2016.
Roger Federer surprisingly doesn’t appear on this vast list, but he has a good record on the American hard courts.
The Swiss has the record of having won this Grand Slam for 5 consecutive times, from 2004 to 2008, and getting 2 other titles in the years of 2009 and 2015.
Who appears as favourite?
Like in most of the big tournaments of the season, once again we have the Serbian Novak Djokovic rated as the big favourite to win. He won this title last season and he is coming here after having lost on the semi-finals in Cincinnati, against Medvedev.
In the same fashion, according to the words of the Serbian, his chances of winning the US Open are high: “I feel very well, and my options to win the US Open are still untouched”.
The loss against Medvedev, however, brought more than only doubts regarding his level for the American tournament. During the competition, Djokovic had a problem on his right elbow, which affected his performance heavily and raised rumours about his continuation on this 2019 season.
Medvedev is on a great moment of form and forced the Serbian to play a very intense and fatiguing match, who couldn’t prevent a comeback after a good first set.
Another player that is well rated to be amongst the finalists is the Spaniard Rafael Nadal, who won the tournament in Montreal and decided to skip Cincinnati, looking to rest for the US Open.
Nadal is one of the biggest recent winners of the tournament, and although his specialty is on clay, he performs well on the American hard courts. Actually, according to his coach Francis Roig, the Spaniard currently plays a lot better than previously on these hard courts.
Roig told the ATP website that Nadal always struggled to advance further than the quarter finals on hard court, but now he can reach the final in most tournaments.
We still have Roger Federer, that hasn’t won this tournament for 11 seasons, and his looking to win it again, even at the “peak” of his 36 years of age.
The Swiss has only played 2 preparation matches, and he comes with a look of distrust regarding his performance in the tournament. It is therefore natural that he is only the 3rd biggest favourite on 1XBet with odds of 7.00.
Medvedev, that has beaten Djokovic in Cincinnati, and also Dominic Thiem, are the biggest “outsiders”, capable of surprising and winning this Grand Slam.
Nadal and Federer fighting for 2nd place
Rafael Nadal is currently ranked 2nd on the ATP Rankings, followed by Roger Federer. Since this is the last Grand Slam of the year, the importance of the title for the points on the ranking are very important.
Nadal has 7945 points, while Federer appears with 6950. The Spaniard would drop 720 points, since he reached the semi-finals on the 2018 season, while Federer loses only 180, since he dropped on the 8th finals last season.
A potential final between Nadal and Federer would be a true fight for the 2nd place on the rankings.
Federer, if he wins the title, will overtake him in the rankings, and the 2nd place also puts him ahead of Nadal, in case the Spaniard doesn’t win the title.
— Samuel Begg – Tennis (@samuelbegg) August 21, 2019
Federer’s situation, however, is difficult, since he is coming off low preparation time and poor performances on hard court.
As for Nadal, he has been having a great evolution on hard court, defending the title in Montreal for the first time, and coming into this match on a great level.
To summarize, I believe Djokovic is the biggest favourite to win his 2nd consecutive title, and his biggest obstacle would be a possible injury, because besides that, he is above the rest of the competition.