Overs & Unders in sports betting
- Updated: 22nd October 2019
When starting our journey through the world of sports betting, we are tempted to bet in some of the “most popular” markets. I believe the “Over/Under” option is the most popular out of all the markets offered by the bookmakers. Below, I will explain what it is and describe some strategies to utilize this possibility.
What is the “Over/Under” in sports betting?
The words “Over” and “Under” mean above (over) and below (under). That is, nothing more between choosing betting above or below the line the bookmaker is offering, be it on any given market, such as corners, fouls, cards, points, and the most popular of all: goals.
The lines offered by the bookmakers are analysed and vary according to the teams that will participate on the event. The most popular line is without a doubt the “Over/Under 2.5 Goals” in football.
On this example, the bookmaker is offering 2.07 odds for the “Over 2.5 Goals” line, which means the match would need to have at least 3 goals scored, between the two teams combined, in order for it to be a winning selection.
The “Under” means you would be confident that there would be at most 2 goals scored during the 90 minutes.
The lines can also be Asian lines, which means it would offer us the option of full or partial refund from the utilized stake.
Over 2.0 – 1.57 | Under 2.0 – 2.35
Here, the odds have dropped to 2.00 on the Asian line, and just like the Handicap, they offer the option of refund. On this case, the selection is a winner in case we do see 3 or more goals being scored, but if we only see 2, the stake is returned.
Now, we have the quarter Asian line
That means, it only protects half of our stake, in case the line isn’t fully surpassed.
In this case, whoever bets on the Over, if there are 3 or more goals scored in the match, the selection is a winner in full. If there are 2 goals, half the stake is returned, and the other half of the selection is a winner.
The rule also works for the “Under”, but if there are only 2 goals scored, half is returned, and the other half is lost.
Although football is the most common example here, we also have “Over/Under” betting in many other sports, being inclusively the most common type of bet in the majority of sports.
Basketball, Tennis, American Football and Baseball are great examples of sports that utilize the “Over/Under” lines as one of their most popular markets within matches.
The most common options of “Over/Under” markets on these sports are:
• Total points in the match
• Individual/Team total points
• Total points at half-time/ in the set/ in the quarter
• Player total points (also works for rebounds or assists in the case of basketball)
What are the strategies to bet on the “Over/Under”?
If I tell you that there is an infallible strategy to bet on these lines, I’d be lying. Each bettor has his own way of analysing the matches and his preferred method to invest his money with.
A lot of people go around saying that the method A, B or C are infallible, but most of them just want to take your money.And because I’m sure this is just a matter of personal opinion; I’ll explain below what makes me bet on this market.
In football, the analysis depends on several aspects, that might lead me into betting on the “Over” or “Under” are the following:
• Team’s playstyle (if they’re more aggressive and objective or more held back and pragmatical)
• Performance at home and away from home
• Objective within the competition at the time of the event (fighting for first place, escaping the bottom of the standings, or in case of knockout ties, need to score in order to advance)
• Performances against teams with similar characteristics from their opponent
• How they behave after scoring a goal (if they lower the pace and manage their lead or if they continue playing aggressively)
• How they behave after conceding a goal (if they maintain the balance of the match or if they expose themselves too much)
Besides this, there are in-play bets, and that’s more a matter of feeling and taking advantage of the situation.
Such as the need of the hosts to score after they concede, or if the match is loose, tighter, etc.
We still have the “Over/Under” bets on the other sports such as basketball. And the idea is the same: analysing the team’s historical record, absences, performance at home and on the road, and against teams with the same characteristics of the opponents.
In tennis, for example, it is an individual sport, so the most important thing is how the last matches went, if the player might have an injury and how he plays at the surface where the match will be played on.
These are some strategies to bet on the “Over/Under” market, I hope you’ve enjoyed it. Good luck!